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99.999% certainty humans are driving global warming

csiro11New research by CSIRO has shown that there is less than 1 chance in 100,000 that global average temperature over the past 60 years would have been as high without human-caused greenhouse gas emissions.

Published in the journal Climate Risk Management today, our research is the first to quantify the probability of historical changes in global temperatures and examines the links to greenhouse gas emissions using rigorous statistical techniques.

July 2014 was the 353rd consecutive month in which global land and ocean average surface temperature exceeded the 20th-century monthly average. The last time the global average surface temperature fell below that 20th-century monthly average was in February 1985, as reported by the US-based National Climatic Data Center.

Re-post of 99.999% certainty humans are driving global warming: new study | REneweconomy

2 comments to 99.999% certainty humans are driving global warming

  • James Vicars

    This has to be a landmark finding – a foundation for driving change.

  • Tom Livanos

    As far as I can tell, “Blind Freddy” can see that the Industrial Revolution has led to the atmospheric/climate crisis. It takes 250-325m years for fossil fuels to form in the planet’s crust. The Industrial Revolution has released that carbon in 250-325 years: a million-fold acceleration.

    That stated, it is important to note that the journal in which this article appears, ‘Climate Risk Management’ is not being peer reviewed. I have checked using a globally recognised database accessible at the University of New England. Relaying it here as something to be mindful of.